Julie, you present a tough challenge. The statement you're making would:
- Have to assuage fear,
- Require a significant amount of supporting analysis; AND,
- Need a respected and credible authority (see Six ways to persuade people...).
Here's why.
Assuage fear. In Investment Psychology Explained (another one of my favorites) author Martin Pring writes, "The sight of sharply declining prices … reinforces the fear that 'this time it will be different' and that the decline will never end." He continues, "Once you have had a bad experience in the market, you will always fear a similar recurrence, whether consciously or subconsciously, or both."
In layman's terms, you're fighting an uphill battle here, girlfriend.
The psychology to overcome fear from having been burned may be well beyond the reach of your humble servant and marketing strategist. P.S. I heartily recommend Pring's book to anyone who's gotten this far down this conversational string and/or Edwin Lefèvre's Reminiscences of a Stock Operator for a book that reads more like fiction (but likely isn't).
Require significant analysis. And historical perspective. Back when the Dow lost 22 percent in a single day, market analytics drew parallels to The Great Depression. And if you read RealMoney (subscription required), Jim Cramer's team does this all the time.
Assuming you're right about the real estate market in Western Washington, you'd still need a ton of evidence to convince to appeal to objective investors (if you can find them).
Need a respected/credible authority. Perhaps, perhaps, if Warren Buffett said he was buying up real estate in Western Washington, that would help. Perhaps Ben Bernanke's 325-basis-point reduction in the lending rate will shore up investor confidence.
Me? I subscribe to the maxim "never catch a falling knife." Zachary's first permanent tooth came in all crooked. I've got braces and two college educations ahead of me.
If I invest, I'll wait for the "all clear." I don't need to be a hero and call the bottom. Besides, Beth would kill me if I were wrong. ;-)