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Kelleen Griffin

Member since: Mar 10, 2008
Last activity: May 28, 2009

34 comments |12
  • Louis,

    Thank you for posting your comments. This is exactly the kind of response that causes the reaction you so fear. For those reading, please consider, a run on banks the way Louis describes it, would have to be en masse all at once, with all of our leading institutions going down. With the first round of stress tests on banks behind us, there are sound banks out there. Example: KeyBank. Let's keep things in perspective.

    I commend you for your strong contribution of facts about what HAPPENED in the past but I would ask you not to be like so many others: we need solutions, suggestions, ideas and advice not cut and run strategies.

    Last I would also comment that you speak more about the economy and wealth than you do about the real purpose of the article, whether you view it as Pollyanna or not, fear and blame are for those who are not serious about solving our problems.

    I believe dialogue is the key to the future; this forum allows dialogue. Let's keep it going

    Posted Mar 05, 2009 Money for Nothing and Your Checks for Free by Kelleen Griffin
  • @Darrell, no, I didn't see the story you're referencing, is it on Biznik or can I find it someplace else?

    @Joe, would be great to catch up, let me see if I can get over to the Fish Cafe tonight. any chance the function will go longer?

    @Deb, Betsy, Madeline - thank you for your nice remarks. Please pass the article along - the real purpose is to help people remain focused and informed.

    @Betsy Moore - I just attended a meeting with some folks from DC on the economy and the effects housing, credit, and the stimulus plan will have. Good news - there are a few of us that believe that by the 2nd or 3rd quarter we could be seeing some clearer skies. But we will also be seeing a much higher level of regulation coming back, and most likely we will look much like Canada when this is all over with....whew! what a ride.

    @JR - very interesting perspective on the bankers left behind when a bank fails...thanks for lifting this up.

    Posted Mar 04, 2009 Money for Nothing and Your Checks for Free by Kelleen Griffin
  • Hey, Joe! That's awesome! I've been watching everything you're doing with Eastside Entrepreneurs, and I'm awed! Really, because of you we have pride, thank you!

    Posted Mar 04, 2009 Money for Nothing and Your Checks for Free by Kelleen Griffin
  • Hey Rick. Weird. It just happened to me too. Try going directly to the treasury website: www.treas.gov and then click on the right sidebar, called Emergency Economic Stabilization Act, and a bunch of additional links should come up. You're looking for the one called Transactions, scroll down til you see it....

    Let me know if this works.

    @Betsy - you are such a dear. Thank you for the nice words...Kel

    Posted Feb 05, 2009 What’s TARP got to do with it? by Kelleen Griffin
  • Wow, great information everyone...here's some more.

    @Peter - great point about acquisitions, some banks are hoarding the cash for this very reasons. There's been a lot of talk around linking a bank's lending growth to a satisfactory/ non-satisfactory rating for acquisitions, like a CRA rating, where a bank can't acquire anyone if their rating is poor. Also, the fine print on the TARP requires that the government be checked in with on acquisitions. One of the things I didn't mention here, is to be aware of whether your bank has massive amounts of lending in the construction real estate arena. Banks are taking gobs of write-offs right now and more to come in this stuff. This is a part of the reason for the acquisition alert, it is widely believed that come the second quarter of this year more banks will be on the chopping block because of those loans. Most banks have just announced earnings in WA state, so do go check it out with your banker to ascertain the health of the bank.

    Last comment here - the good news is that we have another $400 billion in TARP to dole out. And lawmakers are very well aware of your comments, Peter. Watch for an accounting measure to be imposed shortly. Here's the listing of banks that received TARP money:

    http://www.treas.gov/initiatives/eesa/docs/transaction_report_02-02-09.pdf

    @Kate - Thank you so much for your helpful comments. Kate is absolutely right. If you have NO other credit or the little credit,16K, she referred to, or just got your very first line of credit, do not cancel those cards. I'm really grateful for the clarification. Many of us have the regular MC, VISA, AMEX, with pretty high limits, and have really old $1k or $2k limit credit cards. If that's your case, my advice holds. Cancel 'em and help the US liquidity system.

    Regarding anyone who is a homeowner looking for support, I found this terrific website, but it was too late to put it in the article: www.hopenow.org

    @Rick, I can't stress enough how important it is to find an SBA lender who does ALOT of these loans. They get it and you won't get the run around. Either they can do the loan, or they can't and you'll know pretty quickly. Right now, US Bank leads the pack across the nation and was one of only three banks to report a growth in their lending in the last quarter. The others were SunTrust and BB&T. These banks are open for business. Good luck.

    Posted Feb 05, 2009 What’s TARP got to do with it? by Kelleen Griffin
  • Alas, Jim, you are correct. Far less likely to get help if you have a huge equity base. Although there should be some refi ability that maybe can get the cash outlay down to a reasonable base... argh! Maddening isn't it?

    Posted Feb 05, 2009 What’s TARP got to do with it? by Kelleen Griffin
  • Words of insight, wisdom and courage, Jack. It's just wonderful. I wonder how many of us are 'falling apart' right now?

    Is it pride that holds us back from asking for help? Is it denial?

    Let's be a community of givers...in whatever form we can

    Happy New Year!

    Posted Jan 03, 2009 Business of the Future by Jack Fecker
  • I love the sentiment of the post, and can join you all in creating those positive thoughts that will carry us through. I wonder, though, isn't it so easy to place blame? The moneychangers, the rulers of our exchange, are not the only group of people worthy of a 'shout out.' Indeed, every single one of us that watched as 'normal' behavior - 'responsible' behavior lost its appeal, and riskier choices were made, we all jumped in, feet first, and deserve to be called out for our complacency. Just my 2 cents.

    Posted Oct 28, 2008 A call for the return of INTEGRITY by Jean-Pierre Ruiz
  • Hi there. Thanks for this post. What was helpful to me is how you used each platform. What I've just begun to develop for myself and you mention in your post is a strategy for using and interacting on each one. Didn't know I needed a strategy, but between time suck and low ROI, a strategy was definitely needed. Thanks for sharing yours.

    Be well, Kelleen

    Posted Oct 16, 2008 Social Networking for Non-geeks Who Want to Increase Their Business by Rick Itzkowich
  • Thank you all for your views, opinions, and comments. I've learned much from this dialogue - by frequently offering opposite points of view, you've all helped me understand the situation we are really in a lot better.

    The solution in my opinion still rests with us. It is our responsibility to respond, not to react, to dialogue, not to debate, and to trust and be inclusive as we work our way through the pieces of this puzzle and come through to the other side.

    Enjoy your weekend and thank you again for this fantastic dialogue!

    Posted Oct 04, 2008 Financial Crisis 101: The Way it Works by Kelleen Griffin
  • I want to thank all of you for your fantastic comments. Thank you. The truth is, for me, I have been lifted up by all of the responders here. One person, after another, recognizing the need to help each other, to stave off fear, and say, 'count me in! I want to be a part of the fix.'

    I am closing out this week with confidence and a bright spirit, knowing that I am part of a great community.

    Last, there are some insightful comments here and also in the first article. so many people came forward with valuable insight. The discussion on mark to mark accounting rules, for example. A fantastic article can be written on the pros and cons of changing this accounting rule. Securitizations as a financial instrument, should it be allowed? How about all the add-ons to the bailout, to get it to pass? There's a lot more to discuss, and here on Biznik.com I rely on all of you to get me smart, quick!

    Thank you and have a terrific weekend, Kelleen

    Posted Oct 03, 2008 Financial Crisis 101: Part 2 - What Can We Do? by Kelleen Griffin
  • Hi everyone!

    Wow, there are some amazing comments here. Thank you all for participating. I want to read each one, because somewhere in here, is a way out. Did you know that Small Business accounts for 66% of the GDP of this country, and if you add Middle Market that jumps to 88%! It's not the big corporates that will find a way through this, it's not the banks, nor even the government, it's all of us, right here.

    I can see a theme in these comments and want to encourage some of you to continue: Does the bailout/placebo make sense? What are the Pros and Cons?

    I've gotta run...but I'll be back!

    Posted Oct 02, 2008 Financial Crisis 101: The Way it Works by Kelleen Griffin
  • @Joe. I just ran into a neighbor here in Kirkland, the lights have mysteriously gone out in the buildings over here on Kirkland Ave, and so we all come out of our caves and chat. He was telling me that their mortgage lending unit did over $50 million in mortgages just last week. I was floored! He said it's really hard to tell people that right now is a great time to buy, but it is. It is also a time to find folks like you to help if the situation has deteriorated. Thanks Joe, it's good to know people who will help!

    @Debbie, aw shucks. :) Seriously, thanks for the great comments. Looking forward to your session next week at the Village. Should be inspiring and uplifting to listen to someone knowledgeable talk about what's good right now.

    Posted Oct 02, 2008 Financial Crisis 101: Part 2 - What Can We Do? by Kelleen Griffin
  • @Leta, I'm with you. Prayers needed! Thanks for commenting.

    @Andy, The Trilogy, I love it! The Lord of the Rings, I mean Flies, I mean Bankers...haha.

    @Seth, you may be right about the exact leverage, maybe someone here knows for sure. I would offer a slightly different take on the "only thing that matters in a capitalist society is how fast money moves." While what you say is what I was taught in my MBA, I can't help but want to believe that the innerpreneurs, the creative capitalists, that Tara's article spoke about will find another solution, or at least offer up an alternative to the consumer focus system we currently have. Tara's article for those who haven't read them, is called Are you an Innerpreneur? Great read...same with the follow up article.

    @Rebecca - safeguards. Yes, there's one big one I can think of...This mess got really really bad when we packaged up those home loans and sold them off to a bunch of other financial institutions, who then packaged them up again and sold them off as, here's the financial term, a securitization!

    This type of security has it's roots in the Michael Milliken junk bond debacle...this was the lurking time bomb that killed the Smartest Guys in the Room, otherwise known as Enron! You'd think our regulators would go, hey, this seems to NOT work so well. Let's stop doing these financial instruments. But no, this is a way for some people to take what ordinarily is crap and turn it into a gold mine. Sow's ear into a silk purse. I bet others have a lot of thoughts on what can be done? Care to share?

    Posted Oct 01, 2008 Financial Crisis 101: The Way it Works by Kelleen Griffin
  • Thanks, great question. In my opinion, it could work. But there are a number of variables and the biggest is still consumer reaction. If we continue to panic and pull money from less well capitalized banks, there will be more bank failures. And the tab for the fix goes up.

    The $700 billion is a PR nightmare. By calling this a 'bailout', it gave the impression that these banks are fine as soon as we pony up the cash. Not so. Very few banks will get through this unscathed. Bankers have been let go in droves. The people who sold those loans to the 'other financial institutions' I mentioned above, they've been fired as well.

    Case in point, the head of Treasury from WaMU was fired eight months ago. All the people who worked at Lehman who sold the loans, laid off. The company filed bankruptcy. Thousands of people have lost their jobs, many because they were just following orders from someone at the top.

    So a bailout? Wrong word. The $700 billion is a placebo, the amount of estimated liquidity that right now, now, the market (US and Around the Globe) needs to know is there just in case. This amount will go up and down over time. The point is to reassure the rest of the market that we are sound, that our system of banking still works. Then the market makers will calm down, the media will see that the market makers are calm and then they'll ease off. Over time, then, you and I will feel as if the worst has passed, and a fledgling confidence will be restored. Congress will pass new laws in the banking industry to prevent this from happening again, etc. That's what I foresee as the road ahead, if we can establish some stability right now.

    Thanks for a great question and this is just my two cents. Others?

    Posted Oct 01, 2008 Financial Crisis 101: The Way it Works by Kelleen Griffin
  • Scott,

    Thanks, I too think your article is packed with some great advice. However, I'm still waiting for the article Dan called for, HOW will the current situation affect small business.

    I'm a 20 year veteran of the banking industry. I was a consultant and small business banking expert for the last 5 years and consulted with banks all over the world. The first thing that's happening, and we predicted this 5 years ago, is that our banking institutions need to consolidate. NEED to consolidate, we didn't know how that was going to happen, but we knew that there wasn't enough business to go around. So something had to happen. The greediness of some in the banking industry catalyzed this process making consolidation inevitable, and the weakest links fell.

    Ray of sunshine: Nobody's talking about how strong Wells and JP Morgan are, how giddy Bank of America is to be gobbling up these former competitors. But they are. I'm not saying that they're happy this crisis is falling on the shoulders of the American population, they're not, but they are delighted to pick off competitors like it was a Thanksgiving Day turkey shoot! (apologies to animal lovers) Look for more of that to happen.

    In 5 years we will look like Canada's or Australia's banking systems - 5 or 6 major national banks, about 30 in the next tier down, and then a drop off in numbers.

    Why is that important? Massive amounts of cheap credit have been available to Small Business all the way through to Medium sizes then to large corporates, because there are so many options to getting cash. It's been our fuel, the engine behind this country. When the availability of cash dries up, the growth of the system dries up. If you can't borrow it, you can't create it or grow it. Basis tenet of finance: cash is king.

    Case in point, when the regulators changed a capital definition in 1990 requiring huge amounts of additional capital be held in reserve, that sparked off a chain reaction throughout the whole economy, lenders couldn't lend, borrowers couldn't borrow, and those of us who are old enough remember we went into a - you guessed it - major recession. Major credit crunch.

    Same thing here. Banks, all banks, are taking write offs right now, are struggling to adjust their capital calculations, because of this rampant and somewhat irrational fear. By adjusting capital allocations they no longer have as much money to lend as they did just yesterday. Credit crunch. (WaMU went down NOW, because people took 16.7 billion dollars of deposits out of the bank between Sept 1st and Sept 15th. There is NO WAY a bank can cover that capital call, so by design, by law, they had to be seized.)

    Okay, so, if the businesses I mentioned above can't get their juice, in the form of a line of credit, a revolver, or term debt, they can't grow. If they can't grow then the people on this list, in what is referred to (by bankers, mind you) as the micro segment, mom and pops, or SOHO market, will feel the pinch IF their major market is to these types of companies.

    If you're a solopreneur, who's "store-front" is a talent, like consultants, contract workers, massage or other therapists, technology workers, you're a knowledge worker and you'll be fine. Not rich, not taking extravagant vacations, but fine. You may be impacted by a lower home value, or less money in your stock portfolio, but you're fine. Same for bakeries, retail stores, anyone focused on the consumer. You'll see a pull back, and Scott's article is great advice to help make it through, but you'll be fine. Remember banking is the second oldest profession - it ain't going anywhere.

    If however you sell up the food chain, there should be a re-thinking of your strategy over the next few years.

    Not a panic, a rethinking.

    There is so much mis-information out there, I wanted to jot down a few comments quickly and hope this helps.

    If anyone wants to discuss this further I'm happy to share what I know from a banking perspective.

    Be well, Kelleen

    Posted Sep 30, 2008 How the financial crisis affects small business by Scott Berkun
  • Didn't know about Stumbleupon! Thanks for that, and Josh, great post as well. I don't Twitter yet, but it seems like many of you do. I'm off to figure it out. Thanks, Kaya. Be well.

    Posted Sep 27, 2008 The Age of Google by Kaya Singer
  • Fabulously! You've done it again. I would add to your comment about 'what we need now: an awareness that we exist.' I absolutely agree that WE need to be aware that we are here, but corporate America has already been tracking this growing segment partially, by following the LOHAS market, as Alana mentioned. 10 years ago the stats showed the LOHAS market accounted for $226 billion, and that was only for natural and organic products. Services weren't even included. So what's that number today, $500 billion, $700 billion - maybe the size of the whole financial services bailout package! That's an impressive powerful group. Not woowoo, not crazy, not "fallen off the track"....Concerned, consciously living citizens.

    Posted Sep 27, 2008 Innerpreneurship and the Bigger Movement Afoot by Tara Joyce
  • I LOVE this! Tara, thanks for shining some light for all of us in service. I discovered the LOHAS market definition quite by accident about 5 years ago when it was mentioned in a strategic business plan for a client. I was amazed; I completely identified with it. Fast forward to today, I've morphed my own personal coaching company around the concept. Thank you for bringing this to everyone's attention. Be well, Kelleen

    Posted Sep 27, 2008 Are You an Innerpreneur? by Tara Joyce
  • Apologies, I have been away from Biznik for about two months, mostly because I've been ill. I'm now jumping back in and I'm concerned over this chain of comments.

    Has flame become the norm here? I joined Biznik about four months ago because it reflected the type of people described in the innerpreneur articles.

    I hope that hasn't changed.

    Posted Sep 27, 2008 Latent Semantic Indexing (LSI) – Bad News for Cheap SEO Copywriting by Gabriella Sannino
34 comments |12